Diigs

Afinal não é Piigs, é Diigs!
Tire-se o P de Portugal, e coloque-se o D de Dutch.

O governo holandês caiu, por causa da guerra no afeganistão. Mas só caiu depois dos mercados fecharem, na sexta. Curioso.
Será que a principal razão foi mesmo o Afeganistão? Ou será outra, mais inconfessável, uma que ponha em causa a solidez financeira?
Dig that!
Vamos ver como é que os mercados reagem na segunda.
Aliás este FdS (Fim de Semana, Fim de Sócrates) deve ser poético e fértil.
– – –
Esperem só até morrer um soldado português no país da lama.

Nada como um SPA de lama para refrescar corpo e mente.


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4 comentários a “Diigs”

  1. Avatar de oKikas
    oKikas

    Olhem o que encontrei: A Holanda na berlinda, por causa da aminguinha Islandesa.
    – – –
    Quote:
    Iceland stares into Icesave abyss
    The island now staring at twin crises, one economic and the other political, after failing to strike new deal on repaying debts to Britain, the Netherlands

    Simon Johnson
    Stockholm — Reuters
    Published on Friday, Feb. 26, 2010 11:50AM EST

    Iceland is now staring at twin crises, one economic and the other political, after it failed to strike a new deal on repaying debts to Britain and the Netherlands.

    As long as the so-called Icesave dispute hangs over the island, it can expect the economy to be starved of cash. Add to that the chance of political instability as the government has to take responsibility for a mess which will leave Icelandic taxpayers with a huge bill for years to come.

    “Nobody dares invest anything in Iceland until this issue is resolved,” said Danske Bank senior analyst Lars Christensen.

    Talks collapsed this week on a new deal to replace one agreed late last year, which proved to be deeply unpopular on the island. Britain and the Netherlands say Iceland owes them more than $5-billion after they compensated savers who lost money in Icelandic “Icesave” deposit accounts.

    A referendum has been scheduled for March 6 on the old accord, and it is expected to be soundly rejected. Angry Icelanders believe the terms are unduly harsh.

    Had a new agreement been forged, Reykjavik might have been able to get financial aid flowing again.

    But now, Iceland will be unable to prop up its sagging economy, which contracted around 7.7 per cent last year and is likely to shrink again this year.

    In the longer term, Iceland faces the risk of default on its foreign debt, the bulk of which falls due in 2011, extending the country’s exclusion from overseas financial markets and prolonging the current recession.

    “If this is not solved by then (2011) the risk of default would increase, but that’s a long time from now,” said Mats Olausson, chief emerging markets strategist at Swedish bank SEB.

    Iceland’s banking system and currency collapsed in late 2008, plunging the country into recession and leaving it dependent on international aid.

    Repeated attempts to solve the spat with the British and the Dutch have failed and foreign capital has dried up as a result.

    Rating agencies have already downgraded Iceland’s foreign currency rating sharply and Moody’s Investors Service warned on Friday that Iceland’s ratings were under pressure following the breakdown of talks.

    Fitch already rates Iceland paper as “junk.”

    Foreign currency borrowing totals around 355 billion crowns ($2.78-billion), according to the central bank’s website, though this does not include the debt to Britain and the Netherlands, nor money from the IMF aid package.

    Icelandic Prime Minister Johanna Sigurdardottir held out hope on Friday that a deal might still be reached.

    But time is running out ahead of the referendum. Analysts say that vote could bring down Iceland’s ruling coalition, sparking a political crisis.

    “If there is a ‘no’ vote on March 6, it’s not a necessity that the government would step down, but their position would be seriously damaged. And I don’t think there is an immediately viable alternative,” SEB’s Mr. Olausson said.

    The largest opposition group, the Independence party, is widely blamed for the 2008 crash, while the popularity of the Social Democrats and Left-Green government has taken a beating over the handling of the Icesave issue.

    Political uncertainty is also rife in Britain and the Netherlands. The Dutch government collapsed last week and British Prime Minister Gordon Brown is widely expected to lose a general election to be held before June.

    Despite all the difficulties, however, analysts expect a deal to be reached before Iceland runs out of cash.

    Britain and the Netherlands want their money and are sensitive to accusations of bullying. For Iceland, a new deal is a must, though it is likely to be a bitter pill to swallow whatever the final terms.

    “There is only one way forward for Iceland here, and that’s extreme austerity,” Danske’s Mr. Christensen said.

    Britain has already warned the country it faces financial isolation unless it accepts its Icesave responsibilities.

    What a deal would acceptable to all three would look like, however, no one knows.

  2. Avatar de Maquiavel
    Maquiavel

    Isto é, a coligaçäo de esquerda é acusada de näo conseguir limpar a merda que os conservadores fizeram antes.

    Parece lá na minha freguesia…

    Quanto a mim, a esquerda deveria mesmo abdicar de participar no próximo sufrágio. Os neoliberais fizeram a merda, agora LIMPEM-NA!

    Entretanto ingleses e holandeses näo querem reputaçäo de rufias. Pois é, mas se estäo assim täo precisados de cheta, em vez de se meterem com uma ilha de 300.000 pessoas que lhes deve uns cobres, porque näo pedem àquela potência mundial que lhes deve tipo 50 vezes mais???

  3. Avatar de toxinox
    toxinox

    Cada vez teno mais a impressão que o problema da Grécia e de Portugal é uma cortina de fumo para tapar um outro problema:
    O problema do eixo Franco Alemão.

    Dois bancos, dois problemas:
    O Deutsche Bank e o Crédit agricole…

    Se calhar, é só a ponta do iceberg.
    Se calhar, vem aí tempestade.

    http://www.lemonde.fr/economie/article/2010/05/13/huit-grandes-banques-dans-le-collimateur-de-la-justice-americaine_1351109_3234.html

  4. Avatar de oGordo
    oGordo

    Enfim, que dizer?
    Uma vez que
    A agência Standard & Poor’s anunciou hoje que melhorou as perspetivas do rating de Espanha e retirou a nota máxima de “AAA” à Holanda.

    http://www.tsf.pt/PaginaInicial/Economia/Interior.aspx?content_id=3560085

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